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The secret to winning the annual Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest could be the weather

Rain is not expected to impact this year’s contest. Highs will be in the 80s, and the sky will remain mostly sunny thanks to a ridge of high pressure.

By Andrew Wulfeck Source FOX Weather

Independence Day forecast: Dry weather in West, rain for Plains and upper Midwest

Dry weather is likely in the West this Fourth of July while rain is expected in the Plains and upper Midwest.

NEW YORK – The world-famous Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest will grip the eyes and stomachs of spectators on July 4th, but some insiders say Mother Nature might hold the keys as to who ranks supreme.

The annual Coney Island tradition has taken place for decades and has produced the fames such as Takeru Kobayashi, Miki Sudo and Joey Chestnut.

The threat of rain, heat waves and even a pandemic hasn’t stopped organizers from lining up hundreds of hot dogs for these competitive champions to devour. 

A representative for the contest says the annual event goes on rain or shine, except, of course, if there is lightning, which has not been an element that organizers have had to deal with in recent memory.

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BROOKLYN, NY - July 4:  MANDATORY CREDIT Bill Tompkins/Getty Images Takeru Kobayashi, the 2004  Nathans Hot Dog Eating World Champion at NATHANS in Coney Island, New York. Mr. Kobayashi had just broke his own world record by eating 53 hot dogs and buns in 12 minutes. July 4th 2004. (Photo by Bill Tompkins/Getty Images)

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Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest during 91st Nathan's Famous International Hot Dog Eating Contest - July 4, 2006 at Coney Island in Brooklyn, New York, United States. (Photo by Bobby Bank/WireImage)

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NEW YORK, NY - July 4:  MANDATORY CREDIT Bill Tompkins/Getty Images Hot Dogs about to be eaten at the 2004 NATHANS Hot Dog Eating Contest in Coney Island, New York. July 4th 2004. (Photo by Bill Tompkins/Getty Images)

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NEW YORK - JULY 4: Takeru "The Tsunami" Kobayashi of Japan, (R) and challenger Joey Chestnut of San Jose, California (L) down hot dogs at the annual Nathan's hot dog eating contest July 4, 2006 at Coney Island in the Broolkyn borough of New York City. Kobayashi set a new record by downing 53 3/4 frankfurters in 12 minutes to win the annual Independence Day hot dog eating competition on Coney Island. (Photo by Stephen Chernin/Getty Images)

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NEW YORK, NY - July 4: Sonya Thomas(the Black Widow) Of Virginia, USA and Takeru Kobayashi at the 2004 Nathans Hot Dog Eating Contest in Coney Island, New York. July 4th 2004 (Photo by Bill Tompkins/Getty Images)

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Despite the lack of major storm systems, insiders say the weather could be more crucial than what meets the eye.

Contests that are held in cooler years with lower humidity tend to help competitive eaters consume more than humanly imaginable.

Last year was one of those contests in which the temperature was a comfortable 75 degrees, and there was little humidity.

It was on this day that Joey Chestnut broke his record by consuming 76 hot dogs and buns in only ten minutes.

An insider said cooler temperatures tend to "tighten up the food, while hot and humid weather stresses out the athletes."

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Taking a myriad of factors into account, Las Vegas has placed Chestnut’s odds at around 74.5 hot dogs, which would mean the 38-year-old would fall short of recent conquests. 

On Monday, the competitive eaters will have a ridge of high pressure to thank for the mostly sunny skies and high temperatures in the 80s.

Dew points are expected to be in the 50s, which will make for comfortable viewing as well as for some busy grill masters.