Weekend severe weather threat eyes parts of South recently ravaged by deadly tornado outbreak
While a few severe storms could develop on Saturday, the greater concern comes on Sunday when more than 22 million people from eastern Texas to southern Kentucky have been placed in a level 2 out of 5 risk of severe weather.
The stage is set for the development of strong to severe storms during the late afternoon and evening on Sunday from the eastern Red River Valley through the Ark-La-Tex and into the Mississippi Valley.
The FOX Forecast Center is tracking the renewed threat of severe weather this weekend in parts of the South that were recently ravaged by a deadly tornado outbreak.
"It is always a high concern when areas go under a threat back to back," FOX Weather Meteorologist Britta Merwin said. But especially considering what happened. I mean, over 100 confirmed tornadoes from last weekend’s outbreak."
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Tornado damage in Paragould, Arkansas after the March 2025 tornado.
(Jim's Drone Adventures )
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Tornado damage in Paragould, Arkansas after the March 2025 tornado.
(Jim's Drone Adventures )
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Tornado damage in Paragould, Arkansas after the March 2025 tornado.
(Jim's Drone Adventures )
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Tornado damage in Paragould, Arkansas after the March 2025 tornado.
(Jim's Drone Adventures )
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Tornado damage in Paragould, Arkansas after the March 2025 tornado.
(Jim's Drone Adventures )
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Tornado damage in Paragould, Arkansas after the March 2025 tornado.
(Jim's Drone Adventures )
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A school bus on the Old Winterboro High School building in Alabama after an EF-2 tornado on March 15, 2025.
(Henry's Weather Channel)
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This image shows some of the damage after a tornado in Tylertown, Mississippi.
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This image shows some of the damage after a tornado in Tylertown, Mississippi.
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This image shows some of the damage after a tornado in Tylertown, Mississippi.
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This image shows some of the damage after a tornado in Tylertown, Mississippi.
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Tornado damage in Cave City, Arkansas on March 15, 2025.
(Kristen Lashley / X)
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Debris and farm life scattered across the area after a tornado ripped through the small town.
(Robert Ray)
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Damage to the Burger King in Villa Ridge, Missouri, which was hit by an EF-2 tornado.
(Broadway Restaurant Group)
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Tim Striegel looks at his damaged home the morning after his mobile home was hit by a tornado on March 16, 2025 in Calera, Alabama. According to reports, two people have been killed and over 50 counties in Alabama have reported damage, and more than 30 people have been killed across the south due to massive storms.
(Jan Sonnenmair)
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CALERA, ALABAMA - MARCH 16: Tim Striegel, in red shirt (center) goes though his damaged belongings while volunteers help him clean up the morning after his mobile home was hit by a tornado on March 16, 2025 in Calera, Alabama. According to reports, two people have been killed and over 50 counties in Alabama have reported damage, and more than 30 people have been killed across the south due to massive storms. (Photo by Jan Sonnenmair/Getty Images)
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CALERA, ALABAMA - MARCH 16: Tim Striegel, in red shirt (center) goes though his damaged belongings while volunteers help him clean up sthe morning after his mobile home was hit by a tornado on March 16, 2025 in Calera, Alabama. According to reports, two people have been killed and over 50 counties in Alabama have reported damage, and more than 30 people have been killed across the south due to massive storms.
(Jan Sonnenmair)
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Damage to the Burger King in Villa Ridge, Missouri, which was hit by an EF-2 tornado.
(Broadway Restaurant Group)
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Damage to the inside of the Burger King in Villa Ridge, Missouri, which was hit by an EF-2 tornado.
(Broadway Restaurant Group)
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Damage to the inside of the Burger King in Villa Ridge, Missouri, which was hit by an EF-2 tornado.
(Broadway Restaurant Group)
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Debris and farm life scattered across the area after a tornado ripped through the small town.
(Robert Ray)
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Trees lay toppled and building are destroyed after severe weather in Dallas County, Alabama.
(Dallas County Sheriff's Department, Selma, Alabama)
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Aerial photo shows damage in Dallas County, Alabama, after severe weather Saturday night.
(Dallas County Sheriff's Department, Selma, Alabama)
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This photo shows significant damage in Calera, Alabama.
(Brandy Campbell)
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This photo shows significant damage in Calera, Alabama.
(Brandy Campbell)
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Damage is seen in Elliot, Mississippi, on March 15, 2025, after a tornado hit.
(Robert Ray)
The threat of severe weather will begin on Saturday, focusing on eastern Kansas and western Missouri – outside much of the region that was hit hard during the tornado outbreak.
"But eventually it drifts into areas that have already been hit: Missouri and parts of Arkansas," Merwin continued. That includes Rolla, which was hit hard by a tornado last Friday.
At this point, the main concerns with any thunderstorms that develop will be strong wind gusts and hail.
Sunday's severe weather threat: Mositure to be ‘a game changer’
This graphic shows the severe weather threat on Sunday, March 23, 2025. (FOX Weather)
As we move from Saturday into Sunday, moisture is forecast to increase considerably over the southern Plains as a potent upper-level disturbance dives southeastward across the central U.S.
"And the moisture is going to be a game changer," said FOX Weather Meteorologist Craig Herrera. "We're going to have more energy to work with."
This will set the stage for the development of strong to severe thunderstorms on Sunday, particularly during the late-afternoon and evening hours from eastern Texas through the lower Mississippi and Tennessee valleys.
"The (storm's) dive to the south, it's going to scoop up more moisture," Merwin said. "Afternoon temperatures across the south will easily be pushing 80 degrees. That's enough to get those thunderstorms popping late in the day."
The level 2 out of 5 risk includes cities like Shreveport, Louisiana; Tupelo, Mississippi, and Memphis, Tennessee.
This graphic shows the severe weather threat on Sunday, March 23, 2025, overlayed with confirmed tornadoes during the outbreak a week prior. (FOX Weather)
In better news, some major cities that were originally in the level 2 threat zone were removed on Friday morning, such as Dallas, Nashville and Birmingham.
The severe weather threat on Sunday is centered across areas of the lower Mississippi Valley and South that were hit hard by the deadly tornado outbreak a week prior.
"So we'll see widely scattered thunderstorms, but a handful of them will turn severe. And you just want to make sure that you're ready to go because it is the same zone," Merwin said "And I will say that is the hardest thing when you've been through something traumatic. And then you hear that first rumble of thunder or you get that first weather alert on your phone. It brings you right back to that moment, especially when you're only a week removed."