Tropical disturbance 96L could develop behind Hurricane Beryl in Atlantic
Invest 96L could develop into a tropical depression or tropical storm this week. The next tropical storm in the Atlantic will receive the name Debby.
Invest 96L right behind Hurricane beryl
Invest 96L is following a few days behind along Hurricane Beryl's path but atmospheric conditions are not as conducive for development. Still the storm presents a heavy rain threat to the Lesser Antilles in the wake of Beryl.
The tropics are expected to remain active this week in the Atlantic, with Hurricane Beryl headed for the Caribbean after its Category 4 landfall in the Windward Islands and another tropical disturbance being monitored for development several hundred miles behind it.
This comes after Tropical Storm Chris made landfall in eastern Mexico late Sunday night before dissipating Monday morning.
Now forecasters say another tropical depression or tropical storm could form in a matter of days.
(FOX Weather)
Invest 96L in central tropical Atlantic
Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an area of low pressure located nearly halfway between Africa and the southeastern Caribbean islands.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has dubbed this system Invest 96L, which is simply a naming convention used by the NHC to identify areas it is investigating for possible development within the next several days.
Environmental conditions now appear only marginally conducive for additional development of this system, and the NHC said if a tropical depression were to form, it could do so by the middle of this week.
Forecasters have given Invest 96L a low chance of development within the next several days.
The system is moving westward at 15-20 mph and could eventually threaten portions of the Lesser Antilles.
(FOX Weather)
"Environmental conditions are only marginally conducive for development of this system while it moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the western tropical Atlantic and eastern Caribbean Sea," the NHC said in its latest outlook. "Interests in the Lesser Antilles should still monitor the progress of this system, with heavy rainfall possible midweek."
If Invest 96L becomes a tropical storm, the storm will receive the name Debby.
Atlantic Basin climatology
The 2024 hurricane season in the Atlantic Basin is ahead of schedule compared to a typical year.
According to NHC historical data, the fourth named storm typically forms by Aug. 15 and the second hurricane forms by Aug. 26.
WHY THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN IS KNOWN AS THE 'HURRICANE GRAVEYARD'
During an average season, 14 named storms form, with seven that strengthen into hurricanes.
The Atlantic hurricane season spans approximately 26 weeks and lasts through Nov. 30.
This chart shows the amount of tropical cyclone activity, in terms of named storms and hurricanes, that occurs in the Atlantic Basin on each calendar day between May 1 and Dec. 31. Specifically, it shows the number of hurricanes (yellow area) and the combined named storms and hurricanes (red area) that occur on each calendar day over a 100-year period. The chart is based on data from the 77-year period from 1944 to 2020 (starting at the beginning of the aircraft reconnaissance era) but normalized to 100 years. The official hurricane season for the Atlantic Basin is from June 1 to Nov. 30, but tropical cyclone activity sometimes occurs before and after these dates, respectively. The peak of the Atlantic hurricane season is Sept. 10, with most activity occurring between mid-August and mid-October.
(National Hurricane Center / NOAA)